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Targeting CSA in Southern Tanzania under multiple uncertainties

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In order to implement Tanzania's Agricultural Climate Resilience Plan (ACRP) the Ministry of Agriculture Food and Co-operatives (MAFC) needs to know which technologies they should invest in and promote in the Southern Agricultural Growth Corridor of Tanzania (SAGCOT). However the SAGCOT is agriculturally climatically and culturally diverse and there is little clear evidence on the costs and benefits of water-use technologies in this region on which to base their decision. Therefore we developed a Bayesian Belief Network for the suitability of CSA options in the SAGCOT to support the MAFC's investment decisions in the face of uncertainty and variability in climate demographics and option performance.

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